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Pardon odds for sam bankman fried hit 12% on betting platforms

Bets on Sam Bankman-Fried’s Pardon Spike Amid Controversy | Crypto Community Reacts

By

Elena Kovaleva

Oct 24, 2025, 05:06 PM

Edited By

Chloe Dubois

3 minutes to read

A graphic displaying a betting board with increasing odds for Sam Bankman-Fried's potential pardon, surrounded by cryptocurrency symbols.

A surge in bets regarding Sam Bankman-Fried's potential presidential pardon has reignited discussions among the crypto community. Following the recent pardon of Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, speculation mounts about the implications for Bankman-Fried, who is serving a 25-year sentence after being convicted of fraud and conspiracy.

Growing Odds Fuel Discussions

Reports indicate that the odds of Bankman-Fried receiving a pardon have risen to 12% on forums, stirring diverse opinions. While some believe a pardon would be a mistake, others see it as a reflection of ongoing patterns in the crypto sphere.

"That would be a mistake. The situation is completely different between SBF and CZ," remarked one commenter, highlighting significant differences in their legal battles.

Comparisons Drawn

Critics have drawn parallels between the issues surrounding Zhao and Bankman-Fried, questioning the fairness of potential pardons. One comment pointedly noted, "Both have stolen from people. Thief is a thief."

Doubt Surrounding Political Prospects

Despite increased betting odds, many express skepticism over the chances of a pardon. For Bankman-Fried, an appeal remains on the table, but some experts deem a presidential pardon unlikely due to the nature of his offenses and his political connections.

Another user stated, "I doubt Trump will pardon him," after referencing Bankman-Fried's public interactions with political figures like Maxine Waters.

A Desire for Clarity

Amid the chatter, a pressing question persists: What’s next for the crypto environment as legal battles unfold? With sentiments largely leaning negative toward the idea of pardon, speculation continues on its potential impacts on market perceptions.

Key Insights

  • πŸ”Ή Bets on a Bankman-Fried pardon have surged to 12% on betting platforms.

  • πŸ”Έ Many members of the community oppose the tone of the discussions about pardoning financial criminals.

  • πŸ”Ή Experts largely doubt the possibility of a pardon from Trump due to the serious nature of the crimes and political factors.

The conversation surrounding Bankman-Fried’s appeal and potential pardon reflects ongoing tensions in the crypto community as it navigates the ramifications of financial crime and governance. As the story develops, scrutiny on the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency intensifies.

Predicting the Path Ahead

As discussions around a potential pardon for Sam Bankman-Fried grow, experts suggest that the likelihood remains slim, with probabilities hovering around 20% at best. Factors such as the seriousness of his charges and the current political climate under President Trump weigh heavily on the situation. Legal analysts indicate that a pardon could set a concerning precedent within the context of financial crime, generating resistance from both sides of the political spectrum. If these bets on pardons continue to rise, it may push more public pressure for transparency in government actions regarding financial misconduct. However, the consensus leans toward a rejection of such a pardon, especially in light of Bankman-Fried's previous associations that could tarnish political reputations further.

A Historical Echo of Unforeseen Consequences

In a way, the situation surrounding Bankman-Fried's potential pardon mirrors the aftermath of the Enron scandal in 2001. Just as public outrage in the wake of Enron's collapse led to stricter regulations in corporate governance, the current speculation around pardons for financial fraud could ignite a similar reaction among lawmakers and the public. The fallout from those events shaped the corporate landscape significantly, illustrating how moments of perceived injustice can prompt lasting regulatory changes. In essence, while Bankman-Fried’s plea for a pardon might seem like a singular event, its ripple effects could redefine the future of governance in the crypto world, much like Enron did for corporate America.