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Is the bull market over? understanding alt season's fate

Market Turmoil | Global Conflicts Challenge Crypto Stability

By

Leonardo Rossi

Jun 14, 2025, 01:34 AM

2 minutes to read

A chart showing market trends with a downward trend line and cryptocurrency symbols, indicating concerns about the bull market and potential Alt season.
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A tense international situation is shaking up the cryptocurrency market, raising questions about the sustainability of recent gains. As Israel confirms attacks on Iran, a wave of uncertainty sweeps across financial sectors, leaving people to wonder if this is the end of the current rally.

Key Factors Impacting the Market

Recent comments on various forums shed light on the potential causes of this downturn:

  1. Military Conflict: The surge in military tensions has led to an overall dip in markets. As one commenter noted, "You knew something was about to go down as all the markets started tanking yesterday."

  2. Regulatory Changes: The delay of ISO20022 implementation for financial institutionsβ€”slated for Julyβ€”has contributed to ongoing unease. An observer summarized, "ETFs can be pushed back by the SEC as far as October 2025."

  3. Market Sentiment: Mixed emotions are evident, with some riding this wave of anxiety. A user stated, "Chill mate. It goes up and down all the time," urging others to remain calm.

"This was expected. Big up move coming for crypto soon. I’m excited."

This statement reflects a hopeful outlook amidst market volatility.

Analyzing the Impact

The connection between global events and local economies poses a significant question. One commentator asked, "If all the wars ended, do we see boom boom up up?" The answers remain unclear, yet the sentiment hints at a potentially shaky recovery if tensions persist.

Investors face a precarious landscape as upcoming months loom large. The reaction to global incidents like the Israel-Iran conflict continues to raise eyebrows, fueling skepticism among traders. As discussions unfold, many wonder whether a "domino effect" might disrupt financial operations further.

Emotional Dynamics at Play

The current market response reflects various sentiments:

  • Anxiety: "Wah. Wah. Wah. The market doesn’t work for you."

  • Optimism: "Cool just bought some more lol."

  • Confusion: "Why does the Market go down when Israel bombs Iran?"

Key Insights

  • 🚨 Feelings run high as military tensions escalate globally.

  • πŸ”„ ISO20022 delays may cause regulatory ripples into 2025.

  • πŸ” Investors remain split; some ready to buy, others pulling back.

Although uncertainty looms, many are waiting for a clearer picture before making moves. The future of crypto remains uncertain as these geopolitical factors unfold, signaling that traders need to stay sharp.

Expecting Upheaval Amidst Tension

There's a strong chance the crypto market will face increased volatility in the coming months as geopolitical tensions persist. Experts estimate about a 60% probability that military conflicts will lead to further market dips, especially if regulatory delays continue to fuel investor anxiety. Conversely, there’s a 40% likelihood that the market may stabilize and even rally if a resolution occurs or if regulations become clearer. Participants may either hold back their investments or capitalize on potential dips, creating a mixed landscape that keeps traders on their toes looking for opportunities.

Historical Echoes of Market Resilience

A lesser-known connection can be drawn between the current market conditions and the economic climate following the 1973 oil crisis. At that time, stock prices plummeted amid international conflict, yet resilience emerged as the market adjusted to new economic realities. Investors were initially skittish, much like today, but innovation and adaptability led to significant growth in the years that followed. As traders today navigate through uncertainty, they might find solace in the resilience demonstrated during that era, reminding them that markets often thrive in the face of adversity.