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Fomc week: will it propel or sink the markets?

FOMC Week Sparks Debate | Crypto Traders Brace for Potential BTC Shift

By

Alice Chen

Oct 29, 2025, 03:22 AM

Edited By

Markus Klein

2 minutes to read

A graph showing fluctuating market trends and interest rates during the FOMC week
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As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) week approaches, the crypto community is divided. Many are speculating whether Bitcoin will surge or face another steep decline. With a significant meeting on the horizon, traders are paying close attention to how interest rate decisions could influence the market.

While some people anticipate a bullish trend with possible rate cuts, others warn of potential market traps that could mislead investors. Comments from various forums reveal differing sentiments:

Market Sentiment is Mixed

Bitcoin’s price movements during FOMC weeks have often been turbulent. The current chatter suggests:

  • Broader Predictions: One observer states, "I think the price will go below 100k before it goes parabolic." This points to a cautious outlook on Bitcoin's near-term performance.

  • Rate Cut Optimism: Multiple comments suggest that many in the community think a rate cut could trigger a price pump. One commenter remarked, "FOMC week looks bullish. Many expect a rate cut, so BTC might pump"

  • Skeptical Views: Despite some optimistic forecasts, skepticism remains. A user stated, "Every time is differentβ€”but not really; we always get indicators triggering. We are nowhere near the end."

Key Reactions Leading Up to FOMC

As the discussions unfold, several key themes emerge from the conversations:

  • FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Numerous remarks suggest traders are preparing for potential gains, with one comment highlighting anticipation: "FOMO is coming, and I'm fully prepared."

  • Market Manipulation Concerns: A legitimate fear exists that market fluctuations may be orchestrated to mislead unaware investors. "Could it be a fakeout?" one person questioned, echoing concerns about previous market dives.

  • Expectations vs. Reality: Amidst excitement, some still emphasize the need for caution. As they put it, "It’s priced in at 98%."

"Timing is everything in this game; we must tread carefully."

Key Takeaways

  • β–³ Many projects optimism for a rate cut but are also wary

  • β–½ Price predictions vary widely, with some forecasting dips

  • β€» "Looks like we’re in for a wild ride this week" - Common sentiment

The upcoming week promises to be critical for Bitcoin as it rides the waves of speculation and investor sentiment. With FOMC's decisions looming, traders remain alert, watching closely for any signs that could shift the market dynamics. Will they be ready to act amid the highs and lows?

Mixed Future for Bitcoin

Experts estimate around a 60% chance that any rate cut from the FOMC could provide a significant boost to Bitcoin's price, potentially sending it closer to previous all-time highs. However, there’s also an escalating worry about market manipulation, making it equally likelyβ€”around 40%β€”that a sharp decline could trap unsuspecting traders. The volatility inherent in these decisions means that those prepared could seize unexpected opportunities while the cautious may choose to stay sidelined, observing how the market reacts before making moves of their own.

A Lesson from the Summer of 2020

The current situation bears resemblance to the Summer of 2020 when drastic economic measures triggered chaotic market swings. Back then, significant stimulus announcements led to wild fluctuations, leaving many traders bewildered. Just as then, traders faced a unique crossroads, torn between seizing immediate opportunities or mitigating potential losses. Yet, those who approached with patience often found themselves on a path to recovery, which might hold true for the Bitcoin scene this FOMC week.