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Will solana overtake ethereum? examining the future

Solana's Surge | Can It Really Overtake Ethereum?

By

Aiko Sato

Jul 20, 2025, 10:34 PM

Edited By

Olivia Brown

3 minutes to read

A visual representation of Solana and Ethereum logos with symbols of speed and cost, showing their rivalry in the crypto market
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Amid rising tensions regarding transaction fees and speed, discussions about whether Solana could surpass Ethereum heat up. Crypto enthusiasts share mixed opinions on the likelihood of this significant shift in dominance, with some arguing it may not happen anytime soon.

Transaction Costs: A Game Changer

Recent discussions spotlight the sky-high gas fees on Ethereum. Users are frustrated as they often pay upwards of $94 in transaction fees while trading memecoins. In contrast, Solana offers transactions for mere cents, making it a more attractive option for those engaged in rapid trades.

"Why pay a fortune for the same thing when SOL does it quicker and for less?"

This significant cost advantage poses a challenge for Ethereum, as users seek to maximize profits and reduce expenses, especially for frequent transactions. The speed of Solanaโ€™s network further emphasizes its appeal, with many noting that everything feels instant, which is crucial in the fast-paced world of crypto.

Ethereum's Established Ecosystem

However, Solanaโ€™s ascent might not be as quick as some hope. The massive developer ecosystem behind Ethereum is a major factor in its continued dominance. Thousands of developers have dedicated years to building on Ethereum, creating infrastructures like:

  • Decentralized Applications (dApps)

  • DeFi protocols

  • NFT marketplaces

All this know-how makes a sudden switch implausible. One user rightly points out, "Moving would be like rebuilding the entire internet from scratch." The vast infrastructure already in place means that any competitor faces a steep uphill battle.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, those in the Solana community remain optimistic. Some speculate that as Bitcoin rises, this could indirectly lead to more funds flowing into Ethereum and then Solana. Yet, the consensus among many is that if Solana does flip Ethereum, itโ€™s likely not until 2028-2029 at the earliest.

"These things take time, and network effects are incredibly powerful in crypto."

Community Sentiment

Conversely, sentiment remains mixed about Ethereum's future. While many acknowledge its strengths, such as high developer participation, the rising gas fees on Ethereum continue to irk participants. Notably, one user stated, "ETH gas fees donโ€™t make arbitrage feasible in my opinion."

Key Highlights

  • ๐Ÿ”น Transaction fees on Ethereum can reach as high as $94, making transactions costly.

  • ๐Ÿ”ธ Solana offers extremely low fees, capturing attention from traders.

  • ๐Ÿ”น Ethereumโ€™s developer ecosystem is vast and entrenched, making a swift migration unlikely.

  • ๐Ÿ”ธ Many expect any potential flip of dominance by Solana could come several years down the line.

As the debate continues, one thing is clear: the crypto space is far from static, and ongoing developments will determine which chain maintains the lead in the years to come.

Predictions on a Crypto Flip

As the crypto landscape evolves, forecasts suggest Solanaโ€™s speed and low fees give it a fighting chance against Ethereum. While a complete takeover feels years away, experts estimate thereโ€™s about a 30% probability of Solana gaining significant market share by 2028. This shift could accelerate if Ethereum fails to address its gas fee issues. Additionally, rising interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on platforms like Solana might further entice traders to make the switch, especially if current trends in transaction costs persist.

A Historical Lens on Change

A more relatable parallel might be found in the early days of the Internet, when Netscape's rapid rise threatened longstanding giants like AOL and Yahoo. Despite their entrenched market positions, users flocked to Netscape for its speed and user-friendly design. Just like todayโ€™s crypto community, those early web users valued innovation and efficiency over established platforms. This historical shift reminds us that even the strongest players can be blindsided by emerging technologies in a dynamically changing environment.